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20121104
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 67 (some duplicates have been removed)
. >> a new marquette university law school poll shows president obama has opened up an eight-point lead in paul ryan's home state of wisconsin. 51-43. a new quinnipiac/"new york times"/cbs news swing state poll shows president obama leading in ohio with likely voters 50 to 45. a tighter race in virginia. president obama at 49, mitt romney at 47, which is a statistical tie within the poll's 3% margin of error. and in florida that poll has president obama at 48 and mitt romney at 47. another statistical tie. tonight nate silver of the "new york times'" 538 blog forecasts that on november 6th president obama will win 300 electoral college votes and mitt romney will win 238 and president obama's chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver's calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. >> do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he
obama and governor christie next. and what will happen just six days from now when polls open, or they try to open, in the midst of the cleanup from hurricane sandy? we'll have a look at election mechanics. that's coming up. [ female announcer ] food, meet flavor. flavor, meet food. it's time for swanson flavor boost. concentrated broth in easy to use packets. mix it into skillet dishes, for an instant dose of... hell-o! [ female announcer ] get recipes at flavorboost.com. boring. boring. [ jack ] after lauren broke up with me, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada... really good. yes! [ jack ] ...and alicia. ♪ this girl is on fire [ male announcer ] use any citi® card to get the benefits of private pass. more concerts. more events. more experiences. [ jack ] hey, who's boring now? [ male announcer ] get more access with a citi card. [ crowd cheering, mouse clicks ] >>> the president of the united states and i have now had six conversations since sunday. that shows to me a level of caring and concern and inter
in the polls and he's rising. in ohio, you've got president obama, he's been leading all along, and as you can see in the latest poll, averaged from real clear politics, he still is. this is why mitt romney is desperately campaigning in pennsylvania. it is a hail mary pass because he knows he's probably going to lose ohio. in wisconsin, president obama maintains a comfortable five-point lead. president obama is also maintaining his lead in nevada. in iowa, president obama is still ahead. the national average is closer, but president obama has been on the rise there as well. so early voting has been going on for weeks now. in some states, and there are some interesting numbers on party breakdown of early voters so far. now, most early voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the edge in colorado. let's turn to bob shrum, professor of public policy at nyu and contributor to the daily beast. great to have you with us tonight. let's leave the names out of it for a moment. obama and romney. let's
's a big reason why barack obama's maintaining this five-point lead. look at the same quinnipiac poll, these internals are brutal for mitt romney. any way you slice it. unless you believe that quinnipiac, one of the most accurate polling that's out there is cooking the books. and if you do, change channels because you're listening to the wrong channel. >> yes. there's that. >> so there's the internals of this poll show that 52% of the people in ohio think the economy is getting better. 47% think the economy is staying the same or getting worse. and when asked who cares more about people like them, president obama leads mitt romney by almost 18 points. john heilemann, if it's ohio, ohio, ohio and the president's maintaining a five-point lead and he's ahead 2-1 in early voting in ohio based on this poll, if you assume that the people at quinnipiac are not in the tank for barack obama and are not sniffing glue and none of us at this table believe that because, again, four years ago and two years ago, quinnipiac was really one of the most accurate polls. >> yeah. >> then this is a firewal
states right now. first let's go to colorado where a new poll shows president obama and mitt romney are in a dead heat with 48% each. let's go to miguel marquez. he's been watching what's going on. what are you seeing and hearing? >> reporter: i'm hearing it's very much the same as it's always been here in colorado. people really turn between these two candidates. we're in suburban denver right now to figure out what makes these voters tick. >> this is jefferson county, it's one of the most competitive counties in this state. both campaigns are working this county very hard. it's because as little as 20 or 30,000 votes across the entire state of colorado could paint this state red or blue. that's as little as 1% of the overall votes statewide. >> so this is always the scariest bit of this. >> the first step is always the hardest. >> spencer has run apex adventure trips for two years. >> so this is the office. >> true. >> not a bad office. >> i like it. >> business has grown, starting with four guides, he now has 20. this year, the company's biggest. 3,000 trips. everything from pa p
, folks, the latest rasmussen data tracking poll, here it is, romney 49, obama 47 the same as the past three days and i take it all that i said about governor romney losing some momentum. he's kept that 2 point gap for the the last three days, above president obama. got it? i think i've cleared myself. we've made a lot of comparisons between 2012 and 1980 and now another one, gas lines, people in new york and especially new jersey lining up for literally hours. many stations don't have power at all and some have run out of the gas they've got and they can pump and they don't know when the tankers can get in to give them more gas. so, should stations be allowed to raise their prices, let the market decide who gets gas and who doesn't? all rise, judge andrew napolitano is here, i don't-- >> you never give me the easy ones. . [laughter] >> you realize of course, that if gas stations were allowed to charge what they wanted to charge, and to, to get rid of the gas lines, there would be a revolution, you realize that. >> do you realize that if buyers were willing to pay what they agreed to
on advertising. he's never led in a single poll there since he became a nominee. cnn has that in the obama category, but the president's lead has been shrinking and polls show president obama had been up as much 11 and 1 points over the summer and fall, but in a quinnipiac poll, he was only up by four. paul and ryan along with john avlon in toledo, ohio. romney has outspent the president in pennsylvania since he became the nominee. i saw this. i was stunned when our producer looked at these numbers. of the 15 million total, just in this week alone. is this money well spent? >> i think it makes a lot of sense for this reason. now, it's true that ohio might be a tighter state, but the question is, r it's the marginal benefit. mitt romney spent a ton of time in ohio and if spending an additional few hours as we get closer to the election could make a big difference in pennsylvania given he has spent far less time in that state, that's what you've got to think about. real additional hours in ohio make that much of a difference there, where as in pennsylvania, it could be a difference in defeat
at the individual polls in the yellow states which are the states that are undeclared. >> gregg: that's where obama has an edge? >> he has an edge in iowa, an edge in minnesota. he has an edge in wisconsin. most of all, ohio and wisconsin. that puts him over the -- >> i saw an iowa poll with romney ahead. i saw one where he had florida. >> i think florida will go to romney. north carolina and virginia. 15 or 20 polls in those swing states in the midwest -- >> i'm not sure i believe that. >> breaking 85, 90% obama. >> i'm not sure i buy that at this point. i think polling is so difficult right now. the people's response rates. i'm just saying -- by the way, some pollsters, we will have an execution on wednesday for somebody. >> i hope it's not me. >> i hope not either for your sake. >> gregg: last jobs report came out on friday and unemployment number ticked up from 7.8 to 7.9. does that make a difference? >> probably not. i think it was enough so that obama can keep talking. let me say about the hurricane and the jobs report. the hurricane forced obama during the last week to do what the three of u
with a brand new poll out of ohio. how close is the race in the buckeye state. and later, the obama administration gets a boost from today's jobs report. so, this is not something i want to say, but i didn't say it. why are they talking about the president. you see, c-max helps you load your freight, with its foot-activated lift gate. but that's not all you'll see, cause c-max also beats prius v, with better mpg. say hi to the all-new 47 combined mpg c-max hybrid. then don't get nickle and dimed by high cost investments and annoying account fees. at e-trade, our free easy-to-use online tools and experienced retirement specialists can help you build a personalized plan. and with our no annual fee iras and a wide range of low cost investments, you can execute the plan you want at a low cost. so meet with us, or go to etrade.com for a great retirement plan with low cost investments. ♪ for a great retirement plan with low cost investments. why they're always there to talk. i love you, james. don't you love me? i'm a robot. i know. i know you're a robot! but there's more in you than ju
polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. not if you can't afford to walk away from any of your battleground states to move on to more exotic locales. he is still flogging it out in the places where he has to win. where he is not sure he is going to win. all of this we're going to win stuff, it is a fake. it is a fakeout. it is a bluff. it is trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should just know that it is a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected feint, this attempt at a fakeout that everybody knows is coming, every once in awhile it is revealed as a fakeout. every onc
for a speech on the economy on his economic plan. according to the latest polling average, president obama holds a % lead in this state. this is about 35 minutes. ♪ >> hello everybody, how are you doing? you live in iowa and you live in a battleground state. let me say that again because i don't think i've said that in all the years i've been in politics. we're a battleground state this year and that makes it very important. and i'm glad i have the opportunity to welcome the next president of the united states. and i know it's cool and you feel the chill but also you feel the momentum of romney being the next president of the united states. [applause] now you folks all know people who voted four years ago for president obama. you know that he promised partisanship and to reduce the deficit by half, that he was going to give us accountable government, that he was going to reduce your health insurance by $2500. today we have would have 5 and 6% unemployment instead of 8 and 9%. that was all part of economic recovery, wasn't it? this president has not delivered on his promised of 2008 and t
. and mitt romney led in zero of those polls. there were two ties and obama led in 17. that's not what we were seeing two weeks ago where romney pulled ahead in virginia and colorado and florida and had drown ohio down to a one-point lead. if anything, obama has momentum. he was declared the winner of the final two debates. i'm not sure how the hurricane is playing for him, but his numbers ticked up. that's why the states that seem toss uppy seem like they are more firmly in the president's favor. >> let me ask you, and i didn't warn you i was going to ask you this, but you have been the subject of a lot of criticism in this last week in particular as if the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biassed or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against e pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> it's been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and there's this celebrity level attached to it that's new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same t
actually makes sense. checking the facts is easy to do. look at the polls in pennsylvania. there have been two dozen polls in pennsylvania since august first. of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't afford to walk away from any battle ground states. he's still flogging it out where he has to win. all of this we're going to win stuff is a fake out, it's a bluff, it's trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should know it's a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected faint, this attempt at a fake out that everybody know
has a big, really big, advantage over obama, double digits in a lot of these polls. and they're saying so there's a mistake in these polls. there's too many democrats and we're all in for a big surprise tuesday. i think that's knocked down by the fact that independents are a broad and seemingly confused term, a lot of people that used to call themselves republicans to pollsters have simply calling themselves independents, but they still act and vote like republicans. so if the independent thing isn't what republicans say it is, from your view, what is the best argument at this point for romney suddenly getting that extra push over the last four, five days of this race and winning next tuesday? what's the strongest argument you've heard? >> well, i don't think there is a good argument for him getting a kind of issue push, a kind of free media narrative push. i think at this point, it's that the turnout assumptions that a lot of pollsters are making are wrong. and that republican -- optimistic republican projections about what the electorate are going to look like are more accurate than
colorado he will be sorely disappointed on election day. president obama has been leading him in the polls there for months now. he is above 50% in most of the polls i have seen. i just don't think if mitt romney is going to try and win this election in a state like colorado and the republicans think they will win that state to win this election, then the president already has this election locked in. >> i will let you july p in there, but the obama campaign wouldn't say it is in the bag. he wants his folks out to the polls 10 days from now. >> it will all go down to the fact of advocacy and getting your point of view across. what did tipper o'neil say, all politics is local? by the way, we are not hanging the whole race on colorado. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio, he is going to need to get wisconsin, new hampshire, iowa, colorado. we are looking at those scenarios. >> definitely. i agree with aping law there. i think -- angela there. the choices couldn't be more clear. if you want to roll back regulations on the banks who crashed our economy and end medicare as we know it, if you want t
" is looking at, not just one poll but a collection. 48.4%-45.7% lead for president obama. the likelihood that president obama has an actual lead based on the polls is 97%. that doesn't mean that he has a 97% chance of winning ohio. it just means that he has 97% of leading today in ohio. now wisconsin 49.8%-46.0%. probability of the lead today is 98.5%. then you go to i had iowa. another somewhat comfortable lead for president obama. probability of his lead is 95.3%. and then in nevada, 49.7%-46.4%, and again 98.1% chance that he actually has got the lead in that state. when you look at 95% and above in the four states that he absolutely has to win--he could lose every other state, florida, virginia, all the other swing states, north carolina, he still gets 277 electoral votes and continues to be president of the united states. so as we get all those national polls that make people panic understand that this is a collection of polls and it doesn't look so bad. it looks pretty good, in fact. now of course, a deal now to cinch the deal in ohio they send bubba. >> we went to florida last nig
of polls, it may show romney plus 2, romney plus 5, romney plus 1. there are a lot of obama leaning polls as well, but even though i look at those polls, you're telling me that it sounds like obama has the edge and he's actually going to win the election? >> if you look structurally, he has an advantage right now. now, if those states happen to flip, and they have gotten closer, and there's a debate of course and charlie, i know, will have a lot to say about this, about what polls to believe in, are polls even trustworthy now, everybody seems to have their hone poll. i don't know that there are actually that many people in ohio. i immediately like maybe there are professional poll takers in ohio, and if so, that would be a great business if your want to get in that. sure, highly answer your poll, $5. there's so much data coming out of there that you almost don't know what to believe, so you sort of have to read what's happening from the campaigns and it's pretty clear that there is, again, when you talk about just a few of these states and we can go through them, where the obama edge, as
will be in ohio today. the latest polls show president obama hold a slight lead in a majority of the battleground's contest and won the endorsement thursday of michael bloomberg, the politically independent mayor of new york city. >>> emergency workers believe they have contained a fire in tanker cars that derailed this week in kentucky. hundreds of people remain out of their homes, including the entire town of west point. the rail car contained a volatile chemical used to make the rubber and tires. >>> federal health officials say nine more people have been diagnosed with fungal meningitis linked to tainted steroid injections. at least 377 people have been sickened in 19 states. however, the cdc lowered the number of deaths from the outbreak to 28 instead of 29, and federal regulators say they have found contamination in more drugs made by a massachusetts pharmacy tied to the outbreak. >>> a new medical study finds that hospital patients routinely have their sleep disrupted by endless in-room activity overnight. yale researchers also found noise levels that exceed those recommended by the world
is handing out so-called obama phones in order to get votes. >> we've got to drag people to the polls. that's what they are doing. you don't have to offer them cell phones like they are doing but, by golly, take people to the polls. >> it's just not the romney supporters, today the campaign is trying to spook us just in time for halloween and a bag of dirty tricks. joining me now is president of the service union and jamal simmons a. dr simmons, a democratic, strategist. let me start with you, mary kay. are we going to see a lot more of these dirty tricks in the next six days, in your opinion, mary kay? >> yes, we are, for the reason thaw just said. they cannot repeal on voters for the economy that works for everybody. instead, they are going to distract voters by esending out these ridiculous lies and we're not having it. we have a ground game that is going to unite people to exercise their right to vote and we intend to drive a vote out that will win for the president on election day. >> now, i've been all over the country with the nonpartisan voter protection stuff and i see your grounds
: latest polls show the president obama's lead shrinking in that blue state. here -- good morning to you. >> morning. >> gretchen: what do you make of david axelrod. is the mouse statch on. >> if romney win in minnesota. i would like hoim to david axelrod to come and we'll shave it for him. >> gretchen: this is the 2008 presidential race. barack obama way ahead of john mccain. and it is my understanding that in the polls recently for this election that romney is inching closer to obama, is th correct? >> it is correct. it is in within the margin of error. >> what do you make of the surge? minnesota has been a blue state what do you make for romney? >> it is a conservative minnesota, gretchen. in 2010 minnesota won both studies of the legislatures, republicans did. we are seag a move to a conservative trend in minnesota. >> gretchen: the governor seat went to a democrat in a tight, tight election and senator al franken won with 312 vote,many of them disputed and michele bachmann is in a tight race or do it see it that way? >> i have known mitch mitch for 10 years and one of the most dedic
by that? >> no. if you look at the poll numbers and see obama up 11 points in new jersey, it's math on christie's part. the government will be depended on for a lot of money in new jersey to rebuild and recover from this. it makes sense on a bunch of different fronts. there is something important that christie did that is like worth noting and talking about which is, it's an important role in crises like this disasters for politicians to register the sort of emotional seriousness of it, the gravity of it and he did that really well. i was -- i have never listened to chris christie intently as i did yesterday on the radio and you fogh in most circumstances i find him to be an obnoxious blowhard and i was hanging on to his every word and it felt important and meaningful. i think that's to his veds it and e -- credit and even maureen dowd taking shots at him this morning, acknowledged that too. he obviously cares about this area, about his state and about this area of the state hit hard and i think that's legitimate. >> emotional seriousness is what christie does. other times you find
for the candidates. the race right now is as tight as it comes. the latest poll has romney at 48%, president obama at 47%. so essentially we're talking about a dead heat. cnn political editor paul joins me now with more. he's live in pensacola, florida, one of the critical swing states in this election. mitt romney is headed your way today in hopes of winning over undecided voters there, paul. but how close is it politically in the sunshine state right now? >> reporter: it is very close in the sunshine state. in fact, take a look at this, christi. this is the most recent poll we did about a week ago. you can't get much closer among likely voters. mitt romney with a one-point edge, but that's all tied up in the sampling error. this is the first of three stops today for mitt romney across the state. he'll be campaigning with marco rubio, the popular freshman senator here in florida. we had this up on our website cnn.com. you can see how much attention florida is getting. both the candidates made well over 20 trips each here to the sunshine state since the start of the general election back in april.
issue for republicans. and the polling in north carolina still suggests that the president -- that obama care is still not very popular in north carolina although you start taking pieces of that like preexisting conditions and that sort of thing, it becomes various parts of it are more popular with the public. it's been a tough sell in north carolina. i think it's one of the reasons for example in 2010 that the state legislature went republican. it's one of the reasons that democratic congressmen lost his congressional seat here in north carolina. so it's been a tough issue for democrats. i don't think there's any question about that and a good issue for republicans. host: rob christensen talking to us from north carolina. you can read some of his writings at news observer.com. host: what are you going to be watching for on election night in north carolina? guest: the national presidential race is why people are looking at north carolina. but in the state we have -- it's been a battleground -- we have several battlegrounds going on. we have a governor's race going on. north carolina has
voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think president obama will pull it off, because he has such an excellent ground game, and because of these big city issu that are born to the people of new hampshire. we talk about real depth is a reduction, the spefics of his plan, unlike mitt romney to has yet to answer how he will pay for his plan. the people understand you want someone willing to talk about specifics, someone who has a record of cutting taxes for working-class and middle-class people. someone who has a record for cutting taxes for small businesses. the president has signed 18 tax cuts into law for small business people. i think the people of n hampshire, when they look at the president's recor
poll shows a dead heat. and 49% of the independents go for president obama and joe biden, 47% go for governor romney and paul ryan. moderate voters who tend to live in the suburbs, many of them independents, 60% for the president to 38% for governor romney. if you're looking at this poll and thinking what is governor romney need to improve on in the final days? he probably needs to boost his numbers with independents if he wants to get over the top. i can tell you in talking and e-mailing with both campaigns today, wolf, they agree with our numbers. they would have it more of an exact tie as oppose today a statistical tie. that's why the candidates are back here so often. they view colorado as a dead heat and both need the nine electoral votes here. if you look at the path to 270, colorado would help both candidates greatly get to the finish line. >> as close as it appears to be, could be a long night counting the votes in colorado. john, thanks very much. a number of other swing state polls from other news organizations also show a very, very tight race. our chief political anal
: in the average of polls and the state of new hampshire, president obama has a slight edge, 48.8 to 46.8. you can see the specific polls that have been taken giving obama an edge in some and romney a edge in others. neill in ohio, independent caller. caller: i will not say my last name, but i will say that i already voted, i am truly independent. i must say, i found it disgusting that mid romney would stay in ohio to collect canned goods if he truly believes we should be reliant on private enterprise if there is a disaster. why doesn't he does take millions of dollars out of his own pocket and buy canned goods and send them in and continue on his way? instead, he sends coleman to ohio to talk about what he says on abortion, which is untrue. at the same point in time, he is changing his game and changing every view. we know he bashed fema. the president is doing his job. he is not doing anything but his job. host: the front page of the "boston globe" shows the impact of the storm, millions reeling. the "hartford courant" has this headline. go ahead, neil levesque. guest: it affected new hampshire
to the polls and getting information about the candidates. obama's lead in the ground game is massive. obama has 800 field offices throughout the nation, romney only has 300. in ohio the difference is massive, 137-39. this continues throughout the states. you see ohio, florida, colorado. obama's lead is massive. obama built the largest grassroots organization that politics saw in '08 and after he won he continued to build it. this can make a difference of two points and in a close race like this it can make all the difference in '08. it gave obama some already. that's not the situation in this case. people that have been to the ground offices say the obama offices are all about obamament the romney offices are rnc offices and not always all about romney. that leads a conservative like joe scarborough to worry about what's happening that the obama offices are building this unparalleled turnout machine and the great irony that scarborough writes for the romney camp is their candidate drirch by data and numbers his entire life is relying on the most unpredi unpredictable force of all, human emo
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 67 (some duplicates have been removed)